Morning Plan 03/12/2025

CPI, Shenanigans, and Financial Improv: How to Lose Money with Style

Good morning, my degen fam!

It’s another day in the casino we call the market. At the ungodly hour of 4 AM PST, I posted that CPI would likely pump us up—only for that move to get dunked on like a rookie trying to guard Shaq. And, lo and behold, here we are.

Current Position: We took a tiny, borderline reckless NQ short at 19769—because why not gamble a little? It already bagged us 100 handles, and stops are locked in, so we’re playing with house money now. CPI, once again, turned out to be a nothing burger—not even the deluxe kind with extra toppings, just a sad, dry bun with a whiff of market movement. Gone are the golden days of 400-500 handle swings. Ah, nostalgia. But hey, new regime, new reality.

I’ve been screaming since Trump’s term that a reset was coming. Both Trump and Bessent have been loud about not giving two cents about the market. But here’s the real magic trick—raising yields ultimately helps the market. It’s like asking the universe for strength, and instead of handing you dumbbells, it drops a whole gym on your head. Short-term pain, long-term gains—sounds fancy, but tell that to the guy who panic-sold at the bottom.

Algorithm Shenanigans for Today:

• Expect a high around 6 AM PST, only to be met with a reality check and downside into Euro close (8-8:30 AM PST).

• A slight bounce around 9 AM, but don’t get too excited—it’s likely another trap before selling into close.

• Maximum positioning is bullish, and guess what? The big guys LOVE causing pain. They feast on it. Like a cat knocking over a glass just to watch it shatter. A CPI fade-down move is our best bet.

🚨 Important Levels for the Day:

• NQ: 20049, 19896, 19724, 19552, 19245, 19073, 18901, 18748

• ES: 5717, 5684, 5647, 5610, 5543, 5506, 5469, 5436

🔹 ES Daytrade Plan:

• Immediate Levels to Watch:

  • Support: 5622

  • Resistance: 5645-5650

• Breakdown Scenario:

  • Below 5620, expect a drop to 5603-5605

  • If that cracks, full gap-fill down to 5575

• Breakout Scenario:

  • 5645 is the key pivot—if it breaks and holds, expect upside to 5685, possibly stretching to 5720

  • Market is oversold, so a confirmed break of 5645 could trigger a rally

• Overall Market Behavior:

  • Likely another whipsaw session, punishing traders who jump in too early on either side

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And here is our free Reality Check Before You Enter La-La Land: Before you start thinking "Wicky is invincible", let me humble you real quick. I take Ls too—the difference is, I cut them short like a bad haircut. This isn’t financial advice; this is financial improv. Taking this as actual advice is like the Trojan Horse—seems genius at first, but next thing you know, your entire portfolio is on fire.

And remember, don’t put all your eggs in one basket—unless you enjoy the adrenaline rush of watching your net worth turn into a catastrophic omelet. And with egg prices these days, that’s basically a financial apocalypse.

Until next time, degenerates—Wicky out. 🚀🔥